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Secondly, let me stress that ISIS is not a “normal” country that can be at war with another country.

could very well rout ISIS quickly with a ground invasion in the short term, while leaving in place the long-term conditions that could facilitate the return of ISIS or something worse.

Al-Qaeda in Iraq itself was born from the American occupation; a new occupation would produce the same kind of resistance, which ISIS or some other group could exploit.

After all, as MIT’s Barry Posen pointed out in The seeds of ISIS were planted in Iraq when its parent organization, al-Qaeda in Iraq, though battered, survived “the surge” of U.

ground forces into the country beginning in 2007—the final and tactically most successful phase of the counterinsurgency campaign, which at its peak involved some 170,000 U.Containment, Posen wrote, “does not promise quick and easy victory.” But history suggests any victory will be slow and difficult.